Understanding how Hylo uses VaR analysis to set risk management thresholds
Hylo employs Value at Risk (VaR) analysis to set appropriate thresholds for its risk management metrics. VaR is a statistical technique used to measure and quantify the level of financial risk within the system over a specific time frame.
Our model utilizes comprehensive SOL price data spanning from April 10, 2020, to August 15, 2024. This extensive dataset allows for a robust analysis of potential price movements.
The analysis reveals a 99.9% VaR of -32.95% for a one-day price drop in SOL. Based on this, Hylo has set the minimum System CR threshold at 150%. This threshold ensures that the system can withstand a price drop corresponding to the 0.1% worst day in SOL’s recent history without taking any action.
This threshold aims to:
For the Adjusted CR, Hylo uses a longer-term risk assessment based on a 31 days period. The adjusted CR is a more conservative metric that takes into account the stability pool and the available hyUSD liquidity on the market for buyback.
This analysis shows a 99.9% VaR of -56.82% for a 31-day price drop in SOL. Based on this calculation, Hylo considers the Adjusted Collateral Ratio healthy if it remains above 230%.
This higher threshold ensures that Hylo can absorb a 1-month price drawdown corresponding to the 0.1% worst month of SOL by activating all of its mechanisms without requiring direct action from users. The main action taken to address this metric is through incentives, primarily stability pool rewards. If we see this metric declining too much, we may increase the rewards distributed to stability pool LP to make it more attractive.
The use of different time frames (1-day for System CR, 31-day for Adjusted CR) allows Hylo to manage both short-term volatility and longer-term market trends effectively.
Our analysis shows a trend of decreasing VaR for a 1-day period for SOL year over year:
Despite this trend suggesting a maturing market with potentially lower risk, we maintain the 150% threshold for the stability mode activation based on the full historical dataset for comprehensive risk coverage, prudent risk management, and user confidence.
Regular reviews of both the System CR and Adjusted CR thresholds will be conducted, with potential future adjustments carefully evaluated to balance robust risk management with capital efficiency.
Understanding how Hylo uses VaR analysis to set risk management thresholds
Hylo employs Value at Risk (VaR) analysis to set appropriate thresholds for its risk management metrics. VaR is a statistical technique used to measure and quantify the level of financial risk within the system over a specific time frame.
Our model utilizes comprehensive SOL price data spanning from April 10, 2020, to August 15, 2024. This extensive dataset allows for a robust analysis of potential price movements.
The analysis reveals a 99.9% VaR of -32.95% for a one-day price drop in SOL. Based on this, Hylo has set the minimum System CR threshold at 150%. This threshold ensures that the system can withstand a price drop corresponding to the 0.1% worst day in SOL’s recent history without taking any action.
This threshold aims to:
For the Adjusted CR, Hylo uses a longer-term risk assessment based on a 31 days period. The adjusted CR is a more conservative metric that takes into account the stability pool and the available hyUSD liquidity on the market for buyback.
This analysis shows a 99.9% VaR of -56.82% for a 31-day price drop in SOL. Based on this calculation, Hylo considers the Adjusted Collateral Ratio healthy if it remains above 230%.
This higher threshold ensures that Hylo can absorb a 1-month price drawdown corresponding to the 0.1% worst month of SOL by activating all of its mechanisms without requiring direct action from users. The main action taken to address this metric is through incentives, primarily stability pool rewards. If we see this metric declining too much, we may increase the rewards distributed to stability pool LP to make it more attractive.
The use of different time frames (1-day for System CR, 31-day for Adjusted CR) allows Hylo to manage both short-term volatility and longer-term market trends effectively.
Our analysis shows a trend of decreasing VaR for a 1-day period for SOL year over year:
Despite this trend suggesting a maturing market with potentially lower risk, we maintain the 150% threshold for the stability mode activation based on the full historical dataset for comprehensive risk coverage, prudent risk management, and user confidence.
Regular reviews of both the System CR and Adjusted CR thresholds will be conducted, with potential future adjustments carefully evaluated to balance robust risk management with capital efficiency.